Town 'n' Country, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

826
FXUS62 KTBW 070122
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
822 PM EST Fri Mar 6 2026

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Above average temperatures continue into the weekend with some
  record high temperatures possible.

- There is a low to medium chance of showers and a stray storm each
  afternoon and evening into early next week.

- Some low clouds and patchy late night and early morning fog will
  be possible the next couple of mornings.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 820 PM EST Fri Mar 6 2026

Lingering scattered convection currently across mostly coastal W
FL is expected to gradually diminish through the remainder of the
evening, after producing a few pockets of gusty winds earlier this
evening along with spotty half-inch to inch rain totals, locally
higher in a few locations. Mostly clear and mild conditions
prevail tonight, with overnight lows in the mid to upper 60s,
likely a few degrees shy of record high minimums. On a climate
note, Friday afternoon marked the fifth consecutive day with at
least one of our local climate sites tying or breaking a previous
record high. Additionally, TPA reached 90 degrees Friday
afternoon, establishing not only a new record high for the date,
but a new date for the earliest 90-degree reading for the Tampa
Area climate record, supplanting the previous date of March 16,
1945.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 140 PM EST Fri Mar 6 2026
High pressure remains east of the region through the weekend,
keeping an east to southeast wind flow over the local area. We will
continue this summtertime-like pattern with the sea breeze forming
and pushing eastward from the coast each day, leading to rain
chances each afternoon through the weekend. Sunday`s chances do look
a little lower as PW values drop a bit, but enough moisture will be
around for about a 20-30% chance. These daily showers (and limited
storms) will initiate along the sea breeze just away from the coast,
and then eventually move out over the Gulf in the late evening.

As we head into next week, a similar pattern continues, with limited
rain chances through Wednesday. Moisture starts to increase again
for the end of the week as another system moves over the
southeastern U.S. and this will bring a return of showers and
thunderstorms.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 640 PM EST Fri Mar 6 2026

Diminishing VC convection this evening with VFR continuing through
the overnight hours, with the possible exception of some low cloud
development after 08-09Z that could produce MVFR/IFR cigs and
MVFR vsbys through sunrise, with greatest likelihood for PGD/LAL.
Easterly winds overnight gradually shift/increase to E/SE through
the morning before turning onshore/westerly at coastal terminals
with the afternoon sea breeze. Convective potential again Saturday
afternoon, however only included VCSH mention at LAL this cycle
as guidance hints at reduced chances/coverage through the evening
elsewhere.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 140 PM EST Fri Mar 6 2026
High pressure will remain over the region through the next several
days, with easterly winds becoming onshore with the sea breeze each
afternoon. There will also be a chance for showers and isolated
thunderstorms each day, mainly in the late afternoon and evening.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 140 PM EST Fri Mar 6 2026
High pressure will prevail for the next several days, with easterly
flow giving way to the sea breeze each afternoon. Overall, relative
humidity values will remain above critical levels with no fire
weather concerns. Patchy fog is possible over the next few
mornings.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  69  86  68  85 /  30  20  10  20
FMY  68  89  66  88 /  20  20  10  20
GIF  67  86  67  87 /   0  30  10  30
SRQ  67  86  65  84 /  20  20  10  10
BKV  62  88  61  87 /  30  20  10  20
SPG  71  86  70  84 /  30  20  10  10

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...Hurt
DISCUSSION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Carlisle
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Oglesby